01 — Define the question
We state the decision the work must inform, the period reviewed and the limits of the mandate.
Methodology
How we reach a conclusion.
A documented process that makes every material claim traceable, testable and proportionate to the evidence.
02 — Establish the evidence
Primary records and official data take precedence. Gaps, conflicts and limitations are documented.
03 — Build and test
Assumptions are separated from facts. We test sensitivities, alternatives and failure cases before concluding.
04 — Apply independent judgement
Models inform judgement; they do not replace it. Conclusions distinguish fact, estimate and opinion.
05 — Communicate with restraint
The final work explains the answer, evidence, assumptions, risks and limits of use.
Methodology is reviewed whenever the evidence, regulation or nature of the mandate changes.